Propylene Oxide Price Trends Q2 2026 Forecast, Chart, Prices And Index

Propylene Oxide Price Trends Q2 2026 Forecast, Chart, Prices And Index

The Propylene Oxide Price Trend in Q2 2026 showed a significant upward movement across major global markets as higher raw material costs, energy price fluctuations, and shipping disruptions affected the chemical industry.

Propylene oxide (PO) is an important industrial chemical used in the production of polyether polyols, polyurethane materials, propylene glycol, and other chemical products. During the second quarter of 2026, prices increased in Saudi Arabia, the United States, South Korea, China, India, the Netherlands, Germany, and Belgium.

However, the market did not move in the same direction everywhere toward the end of the quarter. While some markets experienced a decline in June due to slower purchasing activity, European prices continued to rise because of tight supply and strong replacement costs.

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Understanding the Propylene Oxide Market in Q2 2026

Propylene oxide plays an important role in several manufacturing industries. It is widely used in flexible and rigid polyurethane foams, insulation materials, furniture, automotive components, coatings, adhesives, and chemical intermediates.

Since many of these products are required for regular industrial operations, changes in propylene oxide prices can influence production costs across multiple sectors.

During Q1 2026, prices in the markets covered by this analysis were generally lower than the levels recorded in the following quarter.

The situation changed considerably in Q2 as geopolitical tensions involving Iran, Israel, and the United States affected energy markets and international shipping routes.

Disruptions associated with the Strait of Hormuz increased concerns about the movement of raw materials and chemical cargoes.

For manufacturers, these developments created additional uncertainty when planning purchases. Higher feedstock expenses increased the cost of producing propylene oxide, while freight charges and shipping delays raised the cost of bringing imported material to destination markets. Suppliers responded by adjusting their selling prices to reflect these changing conditions.

The result was a broad increase in quarterly prices, although the extent of the increase varied by region. European markets experienced particularly strong price pressure, while Asian import markets faced higher landed costs and changes in buying activity.

Propylene Oxide Prices in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia recorded a strong increase in Propylene Oxide Prices during Q2 2026. Prices rose by 31.36% compared with Q1 2026, reflecting higher upstream propylene costs, increased processing expenses, and logistical challenges associated with regional geopolitical tensions.

Saudi Arabia is an important participant in the regional petrochemical industry. Changes in feedstock availability and energy costs can influence production economics and export prices. During the quarter, suppliers faced higher operating expenses and passed part of this increase on to international buyers.

Demand from downstream polyol producers remained relatively steady. These manufacturers require propylene oxide as a raw material for producing materials used in mattresses, furniture, automotive seating, insulation, and other applications. Continued procurement helped support prices during the quarter.

However, the market began to show signs of moderation in June. Prices declined by 8.97% compared with May 2026, as overseas buyers became more cautious about making new purchases. Some buyers preferred to use their existing inventories rather than commit to additional spot cargoes.

This movement shows how a market can experience strong quarterly growth while still recording a monthly correction. The decline in June reduced some of the immediate upward pressure, but it did not eliminate the cost increases accumulated earlier in the quarter.

Propylene Oxide Price Trend in the United States

The United States recorded a more moderate quarterly increase than several other markets. Propylene oxide export prices at FOB Houston rose by 15.02% in Q2 2026 compared with the previous quarter.

Higher raw material costs and firm energy benchmarks were important factors behind this increase. Producers also faced elevated processing expenses and relatively tight inventories. At the same time, international buyers continued to monitor export opportunities, supporting producer quotations during periods of supply uncertainty.

The FOB Houston market reflects the price of material at the export point before the buyer's international freight and other destination-related costs are added. Therefore, changes in export prices can influence the economics of international procurement, particularly when freight rates are also changing.

Domestic consumption remained stable, supported by manufacturers producing polyether polyols and other chemical intermediates. These businesses continued to require regular supplies, even as purchasing decisions became more sensitive to cost increases.

In June, United States prices decreased by 4.26% compared with May. Improved spot availability toward the end of the quarter and slightly weaker immediate buying interest contributed to this adjustment.

The American market therefore showed a combination of rising quarterly costs and a relatively small monthly decline. For buyers, this suggests that procurement conditions improved slightly in June, although the overall price level remained above the previous quarter's baseline.

South Korea Propylene Oxide Prices and Asian Market Conditions

South Korea recorded a 26.42% quarterly increase in propylene oxide prices during Q2 2026. Higher naphtha and propylene costs, along with increased energy expenses, contributed to the upward movement.

The Asian petrochemical market is closely connected through regional feedstock supply, manufacturing operations, and international trade. When raw material prices rise, producers often face pressure to increase selling prices to maintain operating margins. Additional freight charges and shipping uncertainties can further affect the cost of imported and exported chemicals.

During Q2, South Korean producers adjusted their quotations in response to these higher expenses. Demand from downstream polyurethane manufacturers remained an important part of the market, although buyers became more careful about their spot purchases as the quarter progressed.

In June, prices declined by 10.33% compared with the previous month. Slower spot procurement and efforts by downstream buyers to manage port inventories contributed to the correction.

This decline indicates that demand conditions can influence prices even when production costs remain elevated. Buyers with sufficient inventory may delay new orders when prices rise sharply, creating temporary pressure on sellers.

For Asian buyers, the South Korean market remained important to monitor because movements in export quotations can influence replacement costs in nearby importing countries.

European Propylene Oxide Market: Netherlands, Germany and Belgium

Europe experienced some of the strongest price increases during Q2 2026. Higher energy expenses, expensive feedstocks, constrained availability, and shipping uncertainty all contributed to the regional price movement.

In the Netherlands, export prices increased by 28.18% quarter over quarter. Unlike several other markets, the Dutch market recorded a further increase of 15.82% in June compared with May. Tight spot availability allowed suppliers to maintain stronger selling prices, even as other regions began to experience slower purchasing activity.

Germany recorded a 26.83% quarterly increase in domestic propylene oxide prices. Higher raw material costs, increased manufacturing expenses, and uncertainty surrounding imported supplies contributed to the rise. Demand from automotive applications and polyurethane insulation manufacturers also supported market activity.

German prices increased by another 15.72% in June, reflecting persistent supply constraints and elevated replacement costs. Manufacturers that needed material for ongoing production had limited flexibility to postpone purchases indefinitely, helping sustain market demand.

Belgium recorded a 28.56% increase in Q2 2026, supported by higher feedstock expenses and firm demand from industrial buyers. Regional inventory limitations and increased procurement activity added to the upward pressure.

In June, Belgian prices rose by a further 15.54% compared with May. Buyers continued to seek available material to maintain manufacturing schedules, while suppliers adjusted quotations to reflect prevailing market conditions.

These three European markets illustrate an important difference between regional pricing patterns. While Saudi Arabia, the United States, South Korea, China, and India recorded monthly declines in June, the Netherlands, Germany, and Belgium continued to experience increases. Differences in local inventory, import dependence, purchasing requirements, and supply availability can explain why international markets do not always move together.

Propylene Oxide Price Trend in China

China's import market recorded a 26.34% increase in Q2 2026 for South Korean-origin propylene oxide shipments assessed on a CIF Shanghai basis.

CIF prices include the cost of the goods, insurance, and freight to the named destination port. This means that changes in international shipping expenses can affect the reported import price even when the underlying product price changes less sharply.

During Q2, higher regional production costs and shipping uncertainty increased the value of imported cargoes. Strong downstream consumption during the earlier part of the quarter also supported prices, while import traders adjusted their selling quotations to account for higher replacement expenses.

However, the market weakened in June. Prices decreased by 10.11% compared with May 2026, as spot inquiries moderated and local processing units reduced immediate procurement requirements.

This development suggests that buyers were becoming more cautious after the earlier price increase. When manufacturers have enough material in storage, they may postpone purchases until they have a clearer view of demand and future prices.

China's import market therefore reflected both external cost pressures and domestic purchasing decisions. Even when imported cargoes become more expensive, weaker immediate demand can limit the ability of sellers to maintain the same pace of price increases.

Propylene Oxide Prices in India

India recorded one of the largest quarterly increases among the markets covered in this analysis. Imported Saudi Arabian propylene oxide prices on a CIF JNPT basis increased by 33.41% in Q2 2026 compared with Q1 2026.

The rise was linked to higher international product costs, elevated ocean freight expenses, and uncertainty affecting Arabian Gulf shipping channels. For Indian importers, these factors increased the landed cost of purchasing propylene oxide.

The CIF JNPT assessment includes the cost, insurance, and freight associated with shipments arriving at Jawaharlal Nehru Port. Consequently, the final import price is influenced not only by the export price in the supplying country but also by freight rates, insurance, and the conditions affecting the shipment route.

Indian polyurethane and glycol manufacturers continued to purchase material during the quarter. These industries rely on propylene oxide for producing intermediates used in insulation, automotive products, furniture, and other industrial applications.

In June, Indian prices decreased by 8.88% compared with May. Some buyers paused fresh spot commitments to work through existing port inventories. This reduced immediate buying pressure and contributed to the monthly correction.

Despite the June decline, the quarterly increase remained significant. Indian buyers therefore had to balance the need for reliable raw material supplies against the risk of purchasing at elevated prices.

For procurement teams, monitoring international export prices, shipping costs, port inventories, and domestic consumption is particularly important when imported material accounts for a substantial part of available supply.

Propylene Oxide Price Chart: Understanding the Q2 2026 Movement

The Propylene Oxide Price Chart for Q2 2026 would show a broad upward movement from the first quarter's lower price baseline, followed by different regional patterns in June. Saudi Arabia, the United States, South Korea, China, and India recorded monthly price declines, while the Netherlands, Germany, and Belgium continued to move upward.

Saudi Arabia's quarterly increase of 31.36% and India's increase of 33.41% were among the largest movements in the assessed markets. South Korea and China also experienced increases of more than 26%, while the United States recorded a comparatively smaller quarterly rise of 15.02%.

European markets showed particular strength toward the end of the quarter. The Netherlands, Germany, and Belgium recorded June increases of 15.82%, 15.72%, and 15.54%, respectively. These movements reflected tighter regional availability and continued pressure on replacement costs.

It is important to interpret these percentages carefully. Quarterly changes compare Q2 with Q1, while June changes compare June with May. They are different measurements and should not be added together. Also, the percentage changes do not reveal the absolute price differences between countries because the underlying price levels, currencies, delivery terms, and assessment locations vary.

For a useful price chart, each market should be tracked separately using a consistent grade, currency, unit, and pricing basis. Export prices at FOB Houston or FOB Busan should not be directly compared with domestic prices delivered to Hamburg or import prices assessed on a CIF basis without accounting for those differences.

Propylene Oxide Price Index: What Buyers Should Monitor

The Propylene Oxide Price Index provides a useful way to understand changes in market pricing over time. A properly constructed index can help manufacturers, traders, and procurement teams identify whether prices are rising, stabilising, or declining relative to a selected base period.

For Q2 2026, the main factors affecting the index included propylene feedstock costs, energy prices, freight expenses, shipping disruptions, producer operating costs, and downstream demand. These factors did not have the same influence in every region, which explains the differences between Asian, American, and European price movements.

A reliable index should use clearly defined assessment points and consistent product specifications. For example, an FOB export assessment measures a different part of the supply chain from a CIF import assessment. Domestic delivered prices may also include transportation and distribution expenses that are not included in export quotations.

Buyers should also distinguish between short-term price changes and longer-term market direction. A monthly decline does not necessarily indicate that the overall market has returned to its previous price level. Similarly, a quarterly increase does not guarantee that prices will continue rising in the next quarter.

For businesses using a Propylene Oxide Price Index in purchasing decisions, it is helpful to compare price movements with inventory levels, order volumes, supplier availability, and the cost of alternative sourcing routes. This broader view can provide a clearer understanding of the actual market environment.

Propylene Oxide Price Forecast: What Could Influence the Next Quarter?

The Propylene Oxide Price Forecast will depend on how feedstock costs, energy markets, shipping conditions, and downstream demand develop after Q2 2026. The second quarter demonstrated that geopolitical events and logistical disruptions can quickly affect prices across international chemical markets.

If shipping conditions improve and freight expenses ease, importers may benefit from lower landed costs. Greater spot availability could also reduce the pressure on suppliers to increase quotations. These developments may support price stabilisation in markets that experienced sharp increases earlier in the year.

On the other hand, continued supply restrictions, expensive propylene feedstock, or renewed disruptions to important shipping routes could keep prices elevated. European markets may remain sensitive to local inventory availability, while Asian importers may continue to monitor freight rates and replacement costs closely.

Demand will also play an important role. If manufacturers in the polyurethane, construction, automotive, furniture, and insulation sectors maintain healthy production levels, their need for propylene oxide could support market prices. If downstream orders weaken, buyers may reduce spot procurement, creating pressure on suppliers.

The June declines in several markets show that purchasing behaviour can change quickly after a period of strong price increases. Buyers may delay orders, use existing stocks, or negotiate smaller volumes when they believe prices have reached a high level.

For the next quarter, businesses should avoid relying on a single market indicator. A more balanced approach would consider feedstock quotations, regional supply conditions, import costs, freight rates, inventory coverage, and actual downstream orders. These indicators can help companies prepare for different price scenarios without assuming that one particular direction is guaranteed.

Conclusion

The Propylene Oxide Price Trend in Q2 2026 was characterised by strong quarterly price increases across all eight markets covered in this analysis. Saudi Arabia rose by 31.36%, the United States by 15.02%, South Korea by 26.42%, the Netherlands by 28.18%, Germany by 26.83%, Belgium by 28.56%, China by 26.34%, and India by 33.41%.

Higher propylene and energy costs, increased processing expenses, and shipping disruptions were important factors behind the quarterly gains. However, June brought different outcomes across regions. Prices declined in Saudi Arabia, the United States, South Korea, China, and India as buying activity moderated, while the Netherlands, Germany, and Belgium continued to experience monthly increases amid tight supply conditions.

For manufacturers and importers, the main lesson is that propylene oxide prices depend on more than raw material costs alone. Freight, inventory, regional availability, delivery terms, and downstream demand can all influence the final purchasing price.

Looking ahead, the direction of the market will depend on whether supply chains improve, feedstock costs ease, and industrial demand remains steady. Regular monitoring of the Propylene Oxide Price Chart, Propylene Oxide Price Index, and regional procurement conditions can help businesses make better-informed purchasing decisions and manage the risks associated with changing chemical prices.

Please Submit Your Query For Propylene Oxide Price Trend, Market Analysis and Forecast: https://www.price-watch.ai/book-a-demo/

 

About Price Watch™

 

Price Watch™ is an India-based, independent raw material price reporting agency that provides real-time price forecasts and data-driven insights into global raw material markets. Price Watch™ specializes in tracking raw material prices, analyzing market trends, and delivering timely updates on plant shutdowns, supply disruptions, capacity expansions, and demand-supply dynamics. The Price Watch™ platform empowers manufacturers, traders, and procurement professionals to make faster, smarter decisions. Leveraging AI-powered forecasting and over a decade of historical data, Price Watch™ transforms market volatility into actionable opportunity.

 

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Rohit Raja

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